Central and Southern Tablelands Weather
NSW Australia.

Long Term Forecasts.

  • In May 2004 Researchers from the University of Melbourne said the three-month rainfall outlooks produced by the Bureau of Meteorology were of little value, despite the bureau using one of the most sophisticated systems in the world.
    However the Bureau of Meteorology defended it's forecasts, Read more.
  • To see the probability of exceeding Median Rainfall over next 3 months, See the Longpaddock's Probability map See also their Outlook Message page from Qld DPI/DNR "Longpaddock".
    To view other Enso information use the links you will find on the left of the Longpaddock's page to get Latest SOI summary, Sea Surface temperatures etc.
  • Precipitation Probabilities Australia, for 3 monthly periods from the International Research Institute for Climate Prediction. Scroll down to chose maps and discussion. The Maps show percentage likelihood of Above normal. Near normal, and Below normal rainfall.
  • Experimental Pacific Monthly forecast and precipitation anomaly maps from Scripps Experimental Climate Prediction Center. When you open the top link you will come to a number of charts. Choose the one looking like the following example, headed PAC PRECIP GMS TOT

    Click on the latest month the forecast was initiated, (indicated by red arrow in the example above) to get the full 12 weeks of animated images, or click on the relevant month (brown arrow) to get a single image for the month required. If you chose the weekly animation, (I usually do) use PgDn to scroll to the bottom of the chart. There you will see a much larger version of something like the following example.


    At the bottom is the year, followed by the date initiated (I= date forecast was made), F= Week _01 (Forecast for week 1) V= 0403-0410 (Variable in this example is for April 3rd - April 10th)


    Under this you will find something similar to the following example. I usually click on "play animation" and then look at something else while it loads. The animation can take up to 3 minutes to load!

    Then I find clicking on "next fcst" the most useful as you can go through the animation at a speed best suited to you. (It will need a couple of clicks the first time) The scale on the right hand side of the map is in inches.

  • Index to other Forecasts from Scripps Experimental Climate Prediction Center.

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